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Talk:Stardew Valley Fair (view source)
Revision as of 20:17, 14 October 2023
, 20:17, 14 October 2023→Alternative Stategy
:It's not my area of expertise, but it appears the calculation was "simplified for the case of doubling a bet." <samp>(2 * Probability of Winning) - 1</samp> comes out to 50%. [[User:Margotbean|margotbean]] ([[User talk:Margotbean|talk]]) 14:24, 20 July 2021 (UTC)
:It's not my area of expertise, but it appears the calculation was "simplified for the case of doubling a bet." <samp>(2 * Probability of Winning) - 1</samp> comes out to 50%. [[User:Margotbean|margotbean]] ([[User talk:Margotbean|talk]]) 14:24, 20 July 2021 (UTC)
==Alternative Stategy==
===Alternative Stategy===
The page says '''always''' bet half your start tokens on green. I tried this twice on the same day, and both times went from over 1,000 stars to less than 100. I think it would be worthwhile for the page to mention another strategy that I have seen explained in other places online: First, bet 160 on green. If you win repeat. If you lose, double it: bet 320 on green. Usually, you'll win. In the rare case when you lose that, double it again: bet 640 on green. Any time you win, bet 160 on green again. Maybe my fair was on an unlucky day or something, but I found that effective on the same day that always betting half was not. [[User:DemonOfSarila|DemonOfSarila]] ([[User talk:DemonOfSarila|talk]]) 20:13, 14 October 2023 (UTC)
The page says '''always''' bet half your start tokens on green. I tried this twice on the same day, and both times went from over 1,000 stars to less than 100. I think it would be worthwhile for the page to mention another strategy that I have seen explained in other places online: First, bet 160 on green. If you win repeat. If you lose, double it: bet 320 on green. Usually, you'll win. In the rare case when you lose that, double it again: bet 640 on green. Any time you win, bet 160 on green again. Maybe my fair was on an unlucky day or something, but I found that effective on the same day that always betting half was not. [[User:DemonOfSarila|DemonOfSarila]] ([[User talk:DemonOfSarila|talk]]) 20:13, 14 October 2023 (UTC)