* While the chance of getting all those Prismatic Shards is vanishingly small, it's not meaningfully different than the chance of getting Iridium Bars. A back of the envelope calculation for 8 years of Bars returned approximately [0.000...(370 zeroes)...0002]. That may be off by several orders of magnitude, but there's no way to look at it that doesn't return an absurdly small probability. For all practical purposes, the chances of it happening are indistinguishable from zero. | * While the chance of getting all those Prismatic Shards is vanishingly small, it's not meaningfully different than the chance of getting Iridium Bars. A back of the envelope calculation for 8 years of Bars returned approximately [0.000...(370 zeroes)...0002]. That may be off by several orders of magnitude, but there's no way to look at it that doesn't return an absurdly small probability. For all practical purposes, the chances of it happening are indistinguishable from zero. |