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Added a method to exploit the wheel at the stardew valley fair
|At the Spinning Wheel, you can bet Star Tokens on whether the spinner will land on green or orange.
|At the Spinning Wheel, you can bet Star Tokens on whether the spinner will land on green or orange.
Players can quickly earn the star tokens required to purchase all items in the shop by betting green, since the mathematical probability the wheel will land on green is 75%, versus 25% for orange. The probability is not a guarantee for any single roll, however. For efficient profit while protecting against losses, always bet half of your current stars. This can be calculated using the Kelly criterion for bet sizing:
Players can quickly earn the star tokens required to purchase all items in the shop by betting green, since the mathematical probability the wheel will land on green is 75%, versus 25% for orange. The probability is not a guarantee for any single roll, however.
The Wheel is rigged and can be exploited for infinite star points by following these basic rules:
1. Bet 160 on GREEN. If you win, bet 160 on GREEN again.
2. If you lose, bet 320 on GREEN still. If you lose that, bet 640 on GREEN. You will win.
3. Continue to bet on GREEN - always 160 if you win, double the last bet if you lose.
For efficient profit while protecting against losses, always bet half of your current stars. This can be calculated using the Kelly criterion for bet sizing:
Proportion to bet = Chance of Winning - (Chance of Losing / Profit Margin on Win).
Proportion to bet = Chance of Winning - (Chance of Losing / Profit Margin on Win).
Proportion to Bet = (2 * .75) - 1 = .5 = 50%
Proportion to Bet = (2 * .75) - 1 = .5 = 50%
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